Improve Your Market Timing: Channeling Stocks

  • Stocks will typically channel 65-70% of the time.
  • There are essentially three types of channels; Ascending, Descending and Sideways.
  • The channel is comprised of two parallel trend lines which define support and resistance.
  • The trading opportunity is as a result of buying the bounce off the lower trend line and selling the resistance.
  • Channeling stocks as a continuation pattern occur as the stock trends and then consolidates for a period of time, only to eventually break out to resume the prior trend.
  • Ascending Channels are usually embedded in a broader downtrend and act as a respite to the primary downtrend.
  • Accordingly, Descending Channels are a respite in a broader uptrend and will more often than not resume the initial bullish trend after channeling.
  • Sideways Channels are considered consolidations before resuming the original trend.
  • The investment community recognizes that stocks neither go directly up nor down without pause.
  • A majority of trading activity resides in channels as supply and demand play “tug of war”.
  • Eventually traders will push the stock out of the range.
  • The quality of the breakout/breakdown move should be measured by the investor participation as evidenced by increased volume.
  • The opportunity to make money with channeling stocks are as a result of two approaches: 1) buy on the bounce off of the lower trend line and sell at the top of the channel at resistance and 2) Play the breakout/breakdown out of the channel.

3-26-2010 9-11-35 AMMOSchannel

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